This is a slightly more optimistic near-term international recovery scenario compared to November 2021, based on the progressive relaxation or elimination of travel restrictions in many markets. This has seen improvements in the major North Atlantic and intra-European markets, strengthening the baseline for recovery. Asia-Pacific is expected to continue to lag the recovery with the region\u2019s largest market, China, not showing any signs of relaxing its severe border measures in the near future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00b7 In 2021, domestic traveler numbers<\/strong> were 61% of 2019 levels. This is expected to improve to 93% in 2022, 103% in 2023, 111% in 2024 and 118% in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The outlook for the evolution of domestic traveler numbers is slightly more pessimistic than in November. While the US and Russian domestic markets have recovered, the same is not true for the other major domestic markets of China, Canada, Japan and Australia. <\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cThe biggest and most immediate drivers of passenger numbers are the restrictions that governments place on travel. Fortunately, more governments have understood that travel restrictions have little to no long-term impact on the spread of a virus. And the economic and social hardship caused for very limited benefit is simply no longer acceptable in a growing number of markets. As a result, the progressive removal of restrictions is giving a much-needed boost to the prospects for travel,\u201d said Walsh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n IATA reiterates its call for:\u00b7 The removal of all travel barriers (including quarantine and testing) for those fully vaccinated with a WHO-approved vaccine\u00b7 Pre-departure antigen testing to enable quarantine-free travel for non-vaccinated travelers\u00b7 Removing all travel bans, and\u00b7 Accelerating the easing of travel restrictions in recognition that travelers pose no greater risk for COVID-19 spread than already exists in the general population.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Regional Variations<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Not all markets or market sectors are recovering at the same pace. <\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cIn general, we are moving in the right direction, but there are some concerns. Asia-Pacific is the laggard of the recovery. While Australia and New Zealand have announced measures to reconnect with the world, China is showing no signs of relaxing its zero-COVID strategy. The resulting localized lock-downs in its domestic market are depressing global passenger numbers even as other major markets like the US are largely back to normal,\u201d said Walsh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Asia-Pacific:<\/strong> The slow removal of international travel restrictions, and the likelihood of renewed domestic restrictions during COVID outbreaks, mean that traffic to\/from\/within Asia Pacific will only reach 68% of 2019 levels in 2022, the weakest outcome of the main regions. 2019 levels should be recovered in 2025 (109%) due to a slow recovery on international traffic in the region. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Europe:<\/strong> In the next few years, the intra-Europe market is expected to benefit from passenger preferences for short-haul travel as confidence rebuilds. This will be facilitated by increasingly harmonized and restriction-free movement within the EU. Total passenger numbers to\/from\/within Europe are expected to reach 86% of 2019 values in 2022, before making a full recovery in 2024 (105%). <\/p>\n\n\n\n North America:<\/strong> After a resilient 2021, traffic to\/from\/within North America will continue to perform strongly in 2022 as the US domestic market returns to pre-crisis trends, and with ongoing improvements in international travel. In 2022, passenger numbers will reach 94% of 2019 levels, and full recovery is expected in 2023 (102%), ahead of other regions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Africa: <\/strong>Africa\u2019s passenger traffic prospects are somewhat weaker in the near-term, due to slow progress in vaccinating the population, and the impact of the crisis on developing economies. Passenger numbers to\/from\/within Africa will recover more gradually than in other regions, reaching 76% of 2019 levels in 2022, surpassing pre-crisis levels only in 2025 (101%). <\/p>\n\n\n\n Middle East:<\/strong> With limited short-haul markets, the Middle East focus on long-haul connectivity through its hubs is expected to result in slower recovery. Passenger numbers to\/from\/within the Middle East are expected to reach 81% of 2019 levels in 2022, 98% in 2024 and 105% in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Latin America:<\/strong> Traffic to\/from\/within Latin America has been relatively resilient during the pandemic and is forecast to see a strong 2022, with limited travel restrictions and dynamic passenger flows within the region and to\/from North America. 2019 passenger numbers are forecast to be surpassed in 2023 for Central America (102%), followed by South America in 2024 (103%) and the Caribbean in 2025 (101%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Russia-Ukraine Conflict<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The forecast does not calculate the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In general, air transport is resilient against shocks and this conflict is unlikely to impact the long-term growth of air transport. It is too early to estimate what the near-term consequences will be for aviation, but it is clear that there are downside risks, in particular in markets with exposure to the conflict. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Sensitivity factors will include the geographic extent, severity, and time-period for sanctions and\/or airspace closures. These impacts would be felt most severely in Russia, Ukraine and neighboring areas. Pre-COVID-19, Russia was the 11th<\/sup> largest market for air transport services in terms of passenger numbers, including its large domestic market. Ukraine ranked 48. <\/p>\n\n\n\n The impact on airline costs as a result of fluctuations in energy prices or rerouting to avoid Russian airspace could have broader implications. Consumer confidence and economic activity are likely to be impacted even outside of Eastern Europe. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" (Geneva) – The International Air Transport Association (IATA) expects overall traveler numbers to reach 4.0 billion in 2024 (counting multi-sector connecting<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5198,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[65],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5197","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-national-news"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/iata.jpg","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5965,"url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/world-air-transport-summit-opens-in-qatar-as-travel-recovery-rebuilds-airline-profitability\/","url_meta":{"origin":5197,"position":0},"title":"World Air Transport Summit opens in Qatar as Travel Recovery Rebuilds Airline Profitability","author":"UgandaUpdate","date":"June 20, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Doha\u00a0 By Moses Sserwanga The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has announced an upgrade to its outlook for the airline industry\u2019s 2022 financial performance as the pace of recovery from the COVID-19 crisis quickens. Presenting the forecast at he opening of a two day 78th IATA Annual General Meeting and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Aviation"","block_context":{"text":"Aviation","link":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/category\/aviation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IMG_20220620_111203_644-scaled.jpg","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IMG_20220620_111203_644-scaled.jpg 1x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IMG_20220620_111203_644-scaled.jpg 1.5x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IMG_20220620_111203_644-scaled.jpg 2x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/IMG_20220620_111203_644-scaled.jpg 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6321,"url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/african-airlines-saw-a-103-6-rise-in-demand-for-passenger-travel-during-june-2022-iata\/","url_meta":{"origin":5197,"position":1},"title":"African airlines saw a 103.6% rise in demand for passenger travel during June 2022 – IATA","author":"UgandaUpdate","date":"August 5, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0(Geneva)\u00a0-\u00a0The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced passenger data for June 2022 showing that the recovery in air travel remains strong. IATA said that after Covid 19, the organisation has now returned to year-on-year traffic comparisons, instead of comparisons with the 2019 period, unless otherwise noted. Owing to the low\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "National News"","block_context":{"text":"National News","link":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/category\/national-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4682,"url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/health-minister-to-address-nation-over-new-omicron-covid-19-variant\/","url_meta":{"origin":5197,"position":2},"title":"Health minister to address nation over new Omicron Covid-19 variant","author":"UgandaUpdate","date":"November 29, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The minister of health is expected to address the nation on Wednesday over the new variant recently discovered by South African scientists.Several countries including Canada, USA and UK have already slapped restrictions on travelers arriving from about eight countries from South Africa.\u00a0Israel has imposed a full restriction regardless while Rwanda\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Health"","block_context":{"text":"Health","link":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/category\/health\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/IMG-20211103-WA0074.jpg","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/IMG-20211103-WA0074.jpg 1x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/IMG-20211103-WA0074.jpg 1.5x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/IMG-20211103-WA0074.jpg 2x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/IMG-20211103-WA0074.jpg 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4112,"url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/iata-urges-kenya-government-to-reduce-pcr-test-fees-to-boost-air-travel-economic-recovery\/","url_meta":{"origin":5197,"position":3},"title":"IATA urges Kenya Government to Reduce PCR Test Fees to Boost Air Travel, Economic Recovery","author":"UgandaUpdate","date":"September 25, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The International Air Transport Association (IATA) \u00a0has urged the Kenyan government to use all mechanisms at its disposal to encourage air travel, including reductions in COVID-19 test charges. \u201cKenya\u2019s air transport recovery is stalling and requires ongoing support. Among the interventions, we are urging Kenya\u2019s government to reduce the cost\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "National News"","block_context":{"text":"National News","link":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/category\/national-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Kenya_1-984x554-1.jpg","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Kenya_1-984x554-1.jpg 1x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Kenya_1-984x554-1.jpg 1.5x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Kenya_1-984x554-1.jpg 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6207,"url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/africa-airlines-recovering-says-willie-walsh-iatas-director-general\/","url_meta":{"origin":5197,"position":4},"title":"AFRICA AIRLINES RECOVERING SAYS WILLIE WALSH IATA\u2019S DIRECTOR GENERAL","author":"UgandaUpdate","date":"July 11, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"African airlines are slowly recovering from \u00a0the devastating effects of\u00a0 the -Covid 19 pandemic with a134.9% rise in Revenue Passenger Kilometres (RPKs) flown compared to the same period last \u00a0year. The latest figures have been released by the International Air Transport Association\u2019s (IATA) based on their - latest analysis of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Aviation"","block_context":{"text":"Aviation","link":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/category\/aviation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/willie-walsh-report-industry.jpg","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":7537,"url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/airlines-cut-losses-in-2022-return-to-profit-in-2023\/","url_meta":{"origin":5197,"position":5},"title":"Airlines Cut Losses in 2022; Return to Profit in 2023","author":"UgandaUpdate","date":"December 6, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Geneva\u00a0\u2013\u00a0The International Air Transport Association (IATA) expects a return to profitability for the global airline industry in 2023 as airlines continue to cut losses stemming from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic to their business in 2022.\u00a0 in a media release today morning , IATA projected that next year -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Aviation"","block_context":{"text":"Aviation","link":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/category\/aviation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc0aOV-1lP","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5197","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5197"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5197\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5199,"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5197\/revisions\/5199"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5198"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5197"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5197"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5197"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<\/figure>\n\n\n\n