{"id":1307,"date":"2020-06-06T12:42:11","date_gmt":"2020-06-06T12:42:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ugandaupdatenews.com\/?p=1307"},"modified":"2020-06-06T12:42:24","modified_gmt":"2020-06-06T12:42:24","slug":"what-is-the-end-game-about-the-kadaga-oulanya-clashes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/what-is-the-end-game-about-the-kadaga-oulanya-clashes\/","title":{"rendered":"WHAT IS THE END GAME ABOUT THE KADAGA-OULANYA CLASHES"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Exclusive Quick Read:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Our Special Correspondent<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you have been wondering why House Speaker Rebecca Kadaga and Deputy Speaker Jacob Oulanya have gone bare knuckles and no longer seem to care whether their fight becomes a subject of public speculation, let us unpack the conspiracy for you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While it is obviously about the contest for Speaker\u2019s chair which Oulanya can no longer wait to take from Kadaga come May next year, there is a third top legal personality whose fate must be determined first before the final showdown between Parliament\u2019s two highest officials.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The third personality is Justice Alphonse Owiny Dollo, current Deputy Chief Justice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Chief Justice of Uganda Bart Katurebe is retiring this month and he has unequivocally stated that he is going home. Justice Owiny Dollo is largely expected to be appointed to replace him. However if that happens, it would spell the end of Oulanya\u2019s dream of becoming speaker. Why?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matters of ethnicity are still very sensitive in the country\u2019s fragile democracy. President Museveni has said before that when making appointments, a lot of balancing has to be done. The three arms of government have to be \u2018balanced\u2019 as far as top appointments are concerned. If the President is a Munyankole, the Speaker a Musoga, then a Chief Justice from Acholi would work perfectly. Owinyi Dollo is an Acholi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Once Owinyo Dollo becomes Chief Justice, another Acholi for speaker would be one too many at that level. And before you say that Katureebe has been CJ while Museveni is also a Munyakole, just recall that it took a long stretch before he was appointed even though he was very credible and highly recommended. His predecessor Benjamin Odoki was kept on the job, the DCJ Steven Kavuma was made to hold the office when Odoki could no longer be kept in it, until Kavuma\u2019s continued acting tenure was no longer sustainable, then Katureebe was appointed \u2013 two years later! And the messages congratulating the president for the worthy choice started flowing in! Don\u2019t also forget that Katurebe\u2019 Ankole identity can be somehow argued away by playing up his Bunyaruguru sub-group. Some have even called him a genetic Muganda of the stock whose forefathers migrated to Ankole. They even mischievously point to his Magunda middle name which interestingly was a judicial title in ancient Buganda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It follows almost automatically that Rebecca Kadaga now needs an Owinyi Dollo as CJ more than anything else for her retention of the Speaker\u2019s job. The point needs no further elaboration. If President Museveni selects Owinyi Dollo to succeed Katureebe, Dollo would be approved almost before he goes before the appointments committee chaired by Kadaga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One thing to watch out for therefore, is Museveni\u2019s nomination for CJ. If he picks somebody other than Dollo who comes from outside Acholi, for example Justice Mike Chibita (former DPP who has also worked as Solicitor General and was Museveni\u2019s legal assistant for almost a decade), then it would be an indication that he has decided to let Kadaga sweat to retain job. Still it would be an uphill task for Oulanya to unseat Kadaga if both of them were in the race for the speakership. Kadaga is very strong because both (or all) camps in the house look at her as their leader. But then parliamentary elections tend to bring in a whopping majority new membership. Some two-thirds of sitting MPs are likely to lose their seats and the newcomers will take about a year to start regarding Speaker Kadaga as their mother \u2013 which she works on very fast and achieves in a matter of months –  yet election of the speaker is the first business of parliament. The newcomers are more likely to be influenced by the president\u2019s people, especially if they are from the ruling party. Clearly, there are several hurdles for the big two contestants to overcome before the final showdown.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Exclusive Quick Read: By Our Special Correspondent If you have been wondering why House Speaker Rebecca Kadaga and Deputy Speaker<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1308,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[80],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1307","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-perspective"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/00351259-c032d06fabc257939a4ddc88cca07fab-arc614x376-w614-us1.jpg","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":1283,"url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/speaker-kadaga-deputy-oulanya-in-nasty-public-clash\/","url_meta":{"origin":1307,"position":0},"title":"SPEAKER KADAGA DEPUTY OULANYA IN NASTY PUBLIC CLASH","author":"UgandaUpdate","date":"June 2, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"The Parliament was treated to a strange clash between its two top personalities that started before the lunch break this Tuesday afternoon. 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Among the women groups that are campaigning\u00a0 for Kadaga to beat her main arch-rival Jacob Oulanya is Ms. Patricia Munabi Babiiha\u2019s \u00a0 Forum for Women\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "National News"","block_context":{"text":"National News","link":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/category\/national-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/kad.jpg","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/kad.jpg 1x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/kad.jpg 1.5x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/kad.jpg 2x, https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/kad.jpg 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3333,"url":"https:\/\/prowebinhost.com\/anzu\/parliament-dramanrm-cec-nominates-oulanyah-for-speaker-rival-kadaga-to-run-as-independent\/","url_meta":{"origin":1307,"position":3},"title":"PARLIAMENT DRAMA:NRM CEC NOMINATES OULANYAH FOR SPEAKER , RIVAL KADAGA TO RUN AS INDEPENDENT","author":"UgandaUpdate","date":"May 24, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Outgoing and outspoken -speaker of parliament , Rebecca Alitwala Kadaga has been dropped \u00a0by her party -the National Resistance Movement (NRM) -\u00a0Central Executive Committee (CEC) for the 3rd most powerful executive position of Speaker and recommended her arch-rival youthful \u00a0Jacob Oulanyah for the converted job. 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